VIRTUAL corrects 13%, but bullish sentiment remains high – What’s next?


  • 112 top wallets now hold nearly $16M in VIRTUAL, signaling high-conviction positioning.
  • Derivative data shows a bullish skew, with positive funding and rising long positions.

Following a 237% rally in the past month, Virtuals Protocol [VIRTUAL] has entered a corrective phase, declining 13% on the weekly timeframe and 2.3% on the daily.

Despite this pullback, VIRTUAL is being accumulated across the board, indicating that the market remains broadly bullish. Here’s how.

Smart money acquires more VIRTUAL

Recent analysis on Nansen revealed that VIRTUAL has become the go-to AI token for smart money. These wallets—known for high-return strategies—have been quietly building positions.

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Source: Nansen

In fact, 112 smart money wallets hold VIRTUAL, nearly as many as the combined total of the next three most-held tokens, which have 114 holders in total.

These 112 wallets now hold $15.92 million worth of the asset. This level of participation and volume suggests strong conviction in the asset’s rally potential.

Market traders align with smart money

While smart money is holding VIRTUAL, bullish interest is also building across spot and derivative markets.

In the last 72 hours, the spot market recorded $5.71 million in VIRTUAL buys, with much of it moved off exchanges—mirroring smart money behavior.

Meanwhile, in the derivative market, more long positions have appeared.

Screenshot 695Screenshot 695

Source: CoinGlass

The Open Interest Weighted Funding Rate—which combines Open Interest and Funding Rate to forecast market direction—has remained positive.

A positive reading implied that most unsettled derivative contracts, worth $205.05 million, are from long traders.

When the derivative market tilts in favor of buyers, alongside steady accumulation in the spot market, it typically supports a positive price move.

A rebound is near — Chart reveals

The Bollinger Bands (BB), used to predict potential resistance and support based on price placement, suggest a relief bounce may be near.

On the 1-day chart, the price is approaching the mid-level band, around $1.70. This level could act as potential support and push the price higher.

The short-term target for this rally is $2.26, with a long-term target above $5.

VIRTUALUSDT.P 2025 05 16 09 14 15VIRTUALUSDT.P 2025 05 16 09 14 15

Source: TradingView

On top of that, the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator has turned slightly upward—an early sign of renewed buying interest.

However, it remains in negative territory, suggesting not all investors are convinced yet.

Still, a sustained price bounce could push the A/D indicator back into bullish terrain, reinforcing VIRTUAL’s long-term upside.

Next: FTX to start second round of repayments worth $5B – Who gets paid this time?



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